Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.359874 0.467591 0.584786 0.719989 0.870060 1.030129 1.212442
2025-09-14 0.198781 0.335601 0.502303 0.711254 0.958702 1.236360 1.566035
2025-09-21 0.116252 0.255273 0.442747 0.693077 1.002869 1.361650 1.798116
2025-09-28 0.080533 0.225226 0.437422 0.734051 1.112091 1.558739 2.110151
2025-10-05 0.058818 0.208063 0.443687 0.785207 1.230083 1.763262 2.428289
2025-10-12 0.040335 0.188830 0.442546 0.823428 1.329684 1.944225 2.717647
2025-10-19 0.030850 0.183210 0.459677 0.885002 1.458005 2.159392 3.047219
2025-10-26 0.021326 0.172428 0.466394 0.930633 1.564826 2.347688 3.344375
2025-11-02 0.010582 0.149372 0.449276 0.940037 1.622732 2.474568 3.566939
2025-11-09 0.001323 0.108859 0.394210 0.889271 1.597512 2.495527 3.659385
2025-11-16 NaN 0.073135 0.337797 0.830258 1.556857 2.493920 3.721736
2025-11-23 NaN 0.054138 0.309223 0.810949 1.568132 2.556405 3.861138
2025-11-30 NaN 0.043250 0.297307 0.819752 1.621747 2.677749 4.079529
2025-12-07 NaN 0.030804 0.276487 0.812015 1.651500 2.768579 4.261037
2025-12-14 NaN 0.019170 0.250481 0.792083 1.661574 2.832126 4.407037
2025-12-21 NaN 0.018161 0.260236 0.836121 1.765312 3.019255 4.708789
2025-12-28 NaN 0.018624 0.275752 0.890813 1.884922 3.227568 5.037500
2026-01-04 NaN 0.017338 0.283786 0.931640 1.984046 3.408839 5.332242
2026-01-11 NaN 0.019157 0.305090 0.997275 2.120181 3.639450 5.689616
2026-01-18 NaN 0.018853 0.317212 1.045832 2.231019 3.836588 6.004842
2026-01-25 NaN 0.014314 0.308975 1.055830 2.284227 3.957010 6.222977
2026-02-01 NaN 0.005620 0.268692 1.001821 2.239784 3.946009 6.273558
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000773 0.226716 0.938925 2.178730 3.910594 6.291353